Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 24.652804 27.710050 30.931534 34.572607 38.566907 42.808649 47.647095
2024-12-22 20.275051 24.507739 29.235361 34.882478 41.418299 48.718151 57.460292
2024-12-29 17.887394 23.084361 29.197946 36.861511 46.147080 56.967048 70.456379
2025-01-05 15.334876 21.080416 28.182160 37.496095 49.267817 63.521649 81.941540
2025-01-12 12.619392 18.478711 26.084424 36.507534 50.223707 67.443657 90.451683
2025-01-19 10.369689 16.157390 24.036381 35.297455 50.690075 70.674236 98.204766
2025-01-26 9.443149 15.521031 24.137209 36.893562 54.886309 78.895085 112.797135
2025-02-02 9.096301 15.663947 25.306306 40.017643 61.324690 90.413534 132.336919
2025-02-09 8.418100 15.203952 25.527116 41.759143 65.894295 99.592827 149.136876
2025-02-16 7.491013 14.220989 24.843212 42.068856 68.371654 105.933872 162.264153
2025-02-23 6.489823 12.975289 23.607133 41.397829 69.299682 110.050244 172.371388
2025-03-02 5.751820 12.076788 22.820248 41.327077 71.071257 115.406437 184.416827
2025-03-09 5.195637 11.450178 22.450157 41.939148 74.005880 122.737999 199.867736
2025-03-16 4.570704 10.605971 21.617179 41.706470 75.571863 128.068637 212.577831
2025-03-23 4.328255 10.473325 22.021431 43.588447 80.647693 138.996052 234.174794
2025-03-30 3.914886 9.933531 21.625955 44.037127 83.368118 146.356600 250.593251
2025-04-06 3.339238 8.959360 20.308099 42.720896 83.012749 148.795454 259.432097
2025-04-13 2.824247 8.028614 18.962497 41.219345 82.206819 150.418424 266.987113
2025-04-20 2.692814 7.962495 19.333567 42.952870 87.149133 161.632707 290.256868
2025-04-27 2.730626 8.308627 20.579441 46.439329 95.381333 178.602434 323.380159
2025-05-04 2.621175 8.273511 21.017161 48.369956 100.883138 191.180910 349.724572
2025-05-11 2.388339 7.886570 20.660211 48.692049 103.442377 198.854779 368.228412
2025-05-18 2.099073 7.298770 19.796643 47.914521 103.895040 202.906914 380.810267